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POINT OF VIEW · 12.12.24

Treasurers: Balancing Liquidity, Diversification, and Daily Demands

We explore how a diversified liquidity strategy might help time-strapped corporate treasurers reduce vulnerabilities and improve adaptability in uncertain markets while maintaining access to cash.

KEY POINTS

What it is

We recognize the daily demands treasurers face and explore how maintaining liquidity while achieving diversification is more straightforward than they might expect.

Why it matters

Preserving liquidity and incorporating diversification is essential for treasurers who want to stay prepared for market shifts and geopolitical risks, offering flexibility and resilience in uncertain times.

Where it's going

During periods marked by uncertainty and volatility, treasurers should be increasingly looking to diversification as a means of maintaining liquidity in their short-term investment strategies.

Corporate treasurers today are managing an increasingly demanding role. They must navigate volatile markets, mitigate financial risk, and ensure the business meets its ongoing liabilities while maintaining or improving its financial position. As these challenges mount, treasurers are turning to liquidity management to safeguard cash flow and maintain flexibility. While liquidity is essential for meeting immediate cash needs, we believe that treasurers can potentially gain additional flexibility with a well-diversified portfolio. Diversification can help reduce vulnerabilities and improve adaptability while maintaining access to cash. Yet, many treasurer portfolios lack this balance, leaving them vulnerable to market shifts and geopolitical risk. Restrictive investment policies and limited time to explore newer tools only add to the challenge, leaving little room to evaluate or implement diversification strategies.

This lack of diversification is supported by our recent treasury survey findings in partnership with Treasury Management International1, which revealed that 30% of treasury teams have 76% to 100% of their short-term investment portfolio in bank deposits (Exhibit 1). This is higher than last year’s survey when 18% of respondents had 80% to 100% in deposits. While bank deposits are often seen as safe havens, treasurers must always consider that the lack of diversification can leave them vulnerable to unforeseen market shifts – with the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March 2023 providing a prime example.

The good news is that diversification doesn’t have to be overly complex. By incorporating accessible liquid options to diversify their portfolios, treasurers can take meaningful steps to ease risk, enhance flexibility, and maintain the liquidity they need to navigate today’s dynamic markets.

EXHIBIT 1: SHORT-TERM INVESTMENT PORTFOLIOS FAVOR BANK DEPOSITS

Survey respondents were asked: “What is your current approximate cash allocation (in percentage terms of investible cash balance) to the following instruments?” Bank deposits were the most common response at 76% to 100%.

 


 

The Case for Liquidity and Diversification

When asked about their top challenges, treasurers in the survey identified liquidity and an uncertain rate environment (Exhibit 2). We believe diversification can address these concerns by spreading holdings across assets with varying sensitivities to rate changes, thereby reducing overreliance on any single instrument. Diversification can also help treasurers quickly reallocate funds to respond more effectively to market shifts, capitalize on opportunities, or meet sudden cash needs without being locked into less favorable positions. Tools like money market funds (MMFs) allow organizations more flexibility in a changing environment rather than being constrained by inflexible choices. This combination of liquidity and diversification is especially critical in a financial landscape shaped by mixed economic signals and diverging central bank policies.

EXHIBIT 2: LIQUIDITY AND FLUCTUATING INTEREST RATES ARE TREASURERS’ TOP CONCERNS

Survey respondents were asked: “In order of priority, rank your top three concerns affecting your short-term investment decisions today.”

 


 

Money Market Funds: A Practical Solution

Money market funds offer a powerful combination of liquidity and yield, making them an essential tool for treasurers. Unlike bank deposits, these funds typically retain higher yields for longer periods, even in a falling rate environment, which may help treasurers manage cash flow without sacrificing returns. MMF managers can actively manage duration – the interest-rate sensitivity of the fund – by increasing the weighted average maturity of the portfolio when rates are declining and decreasing it when rates are rising. The diversified underlying investments of money market funds provide a built-in layer of resilience, helping treasurers balance risk across their liquid holdings. Furthermore, during an interest rate downturn, treasurers who exclusively rely on bank deposits and extend terms to enhance yields may unknowingly increase risk due to single counterparty exposure.

In contrast, treasurers who spread resources across multiple money market funds can further strengthen their portfolios. These funds offer daily liquidity and help reduce single counterparty risk, making them an attractive complement to traditional bank deposits. Revisiting restrictive corporate policies tied to outdated assumptions could also open up opportunities to better integrate money market funds into a broader liquidity strategy.

Building Resilient Liquidity Strategies

Bank deposits are an essential cornerstone of liquidity management, offering treasurers convenient cash access. That said, money market funds complement this foundation, giving treasurers an additional tool to diversify and strengthen their cash management strategies. Beyond MMFs, treasurers might also incorporate short-term bonds and Treasury bills as part of a well-rounded plan. Cash segmentation, a framework to align liquidity needs and investment horizons while optimizing returns of your entire cash portfolio, may further enhance the overall strategy. Such a diverse framework can help support immediate needs while maintaining focus on the organization’s broader financial priorities.

Technology also plays an important role in executing these strategies. Liquidity management platforms, application programming interfaces (APIs), and digital assistants can streamline operations and improve decision-making. APIs act as digital pipelines, connecting treasury systems with external financial platforms to automatically exchange data in real time. This integration replaces manual processes, reduces errors, and provides faster access to actionable insights. Digital assistants are advanced AI tools that track trends, assess potential risk, and uncover diversification strategies, helping treasurers make informed decisions in less time.

Diversified Liquidity as a Strategic Tool

Liquidity is critical to adaptation in an increasingly volatile world. Treasurers who stay flexible and diversify their investment options are likely better positioned to navigate uncertainty, respond to change, and plan for growth. Partnering with experienced advisors and leveraging the latest technology adds an additional layer of agility, allowing treasurers to pivot swiftly, especially under time constraints. While challenges for treasurers will persist, a proactive approach to liquidity offers more than stability – it equips treasurers to adapt, grow, and chart a sustainable path forward.

 

1Treasury Management International (TMI) and Northern Trust Asset Management (NTAM) Global Liquidity Survey 2024

IMPORTANT INFORMATION

Northern Trust Asset Management (NTAM) is composed of Northern Trust Investments, Inc., Northern Trust Global Investments Limited, Northern Trust Fund Managers (Ireland) Limited, Northern Trust Global Investments Japan, K.K., NT Global Advisors, Inc., 50 South Capital Advisors, LLC, Northern Trust Asset Management Australia Pty Ltd, and investment personnel of The Northern Trust Company of Hong Kong Limited and The Northern Trust Company.

 

Issued in the United Kingdom by Northern Trust Global Investments Limited, issued in the European Economic Association (“EEA”) by Northern Trust Fund Managers (Ireland) Limited, issued in Australia by Northern Trust Asset Management (Australia) Limited (ACN 648 476 019) which holds an Australian Financial Services Licence (License Number: 529895) and is regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC), and issued in Hong Kong by The Northern Trust Company of Hong Kong Limited which is regulated by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission.

 

For Asia-Pacific (APAC) and Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) markets, this information is directed to institutional, professional and wholesale clients or investors only and should not be relied upon by retail clients or investors. This document may not be edited, altered, revised, paraphrased, or otherwise modified without the prior written permission of NTAM. The information is not intended for distribution or use by any person in any jurisdiction where such distribution would be contrary to local law or regulation. NTAM may have positions in and may effect transactions in the markets, contracts and related investments different than described in this information. This information is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed, and is subject to change. Information does not constitute a recommendation of any investment strategy, is not intended as investment advice and does not take into account all the circumstances of each investor.

 

This report is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to any transaction and should not be treated as legal advice, investment advice or tax advice. Recipients should not rely upon this information as a substitute for obtaining specific legal or tax advice from their own professional legal or tax advisors. References to specific securities and their issuers are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended and should not be interpreted as recommendations to purchase or sell such securities. Indices and trademarks are the property of their respective owners. Information is subject to change based on market or other conditions.

 

All securities investing and trading activities risk the loss of capital. Each portfolio is subject to substantial risks including market risks, strategy risks, advisor risk, and risks with respect to its investment in other structures. There can be no assurance that any portfolio investment objectives will be achieved, or that any investment will achieve profits or avoid incurring substantial losses. No investment strategy or risk management technique can guarantee returns or eliminate risk in any market environment. Risk controls and models do not promise any level of performance or guarantee against loss of principal. Any discussion of risk management is intended to describe NTAM’s efforts to monitor and manage risk but does not imply low risk.

 

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Performance returns and the principal value of an investment will fluctuate. Performance returns contained herein are subject to revision by NTAM. Comparative indices shown are provided as an indication of the performance of a particular segment of the capital markets and/or alternative strategies in general. Index performance returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. It is not possible to invest directly in any index. Net performance returns are reduced by investment management fees and other expenses relating to the management of the account. Gross performance returns contained herein include reinvestment of dividends and other earnings, transaction costs, and all fees and expenses other than investment management fees, unless indicated otherwise. For U.S. NTI prospects or clients, please refer to Part 2a of the Form ADV or consult an NTI representative for additional information on fees.

 

Forward-looking statements and assumptions are NTAM’s current estimates or expectations of future events or future results based upon proprietary research and should not be construed as an estimate or promise of results that a portfolio may achieve. Actual results could differ materially from the results indicated by this information.

 

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